Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.203838 0.237190 0.274353 0.318850 0.370708 0.429275 0.500497
2025-02-16 0.150809 0.194835 0.249289 0.321683 0.415569 0.533449 0.693094
2025-02-23 0.120910 0.167893 0.230347 0.319625 0.444334 0.612909 0.859073
2025-03-02 0.098657 0.145216 0.210822 0.310293 0.457885 0.669752 0.998776
2025-03-09 0.087255 0.135098 0.206015 0.319191 0.496194 0.763982 1.202878
2025-03-16 0.076541 0.123956 0.197472 0.320275 0.521567 0.840723 1.389674
2025-03-23 0.068953 0.116338 0.192886 0.326204 0.554330 0.931921 1.610820
2025-03-30 0.060471 0.105924 0.182166 0.320132 0.565718 0.988602 1.780633
2025-04-06 0.053916 0.097809 0.174068 0.317100 0.581301 1.053435 1.972319
2025-04-13 0.048938 0.091762 0.168670 0.317894 0.603354 1.131725 2.198216
2025-04-20 0.046474 0.089952 0.170561 0.332149 0.651865 1.264032 2.543904
2025-04-27 0.043935 0.087640 0.171161 0.343859 0.696713 1.394510 2.903253
2025-05-04 0.041130 0.084546 0.170058 0.352437 0.737227 1.523174 3.280677
2025-05-11 0.038012 0.080439 0.166482 0.355586 0.767185 1.634683 3.639084
2025-05-18 0.034736 0.075571 0.160723 0.353308 0.785144 1.723015 3.959008
2025-05-25 0.031139 0.069552 0.151803 0.342975 0.783968 1.769532 4.190623
2025-06-01 0.029595 0.067854 0.151961 0.352826 0.829456 1.925484 4.699600
2025-06-08 0.027533 0.064721 0.148554 0.354027 0.854938 2.038685 5.121854
2025-06-15 0.026048 0.062738 0.147502 0.360593 0.893975 2.188590 5.656472
2025-06-22 0.023833 0.058742 0.141291 0.353869 0.899496 2.257919 5.995263
2025-06-29 0.022043 0.055571 0.136674 0.350512 0.913028 2.348818 6.403943
2025-07-06 0.020661 0.053250 0.133865 0.351390 0.937607 2.471012 6.915130
2025-07-13 0.020177 0.053172 0.136641 0.367176 1.003756 2.710521 7.787614